July 25, 2024 | 2:15

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Post-electoral analysis of the CIS for Euskadi: Motivations for the vote

Jesus Carames

June 11, 2024 | 4:41 pm

The CIS post-election study for Euskadi reveals the main motivations behind voting for each party or coalition in the last regional elections in the Basque Country in 2024. Below is a detailed analysis of the data provided.

Main reasons for voting

PNV (EAJ-PNV)

  • management and leadership: The PNV has been voted mainly for its management and leadership capacity. However, a campaign focused on questioning the management of Osakidetza and housing has negatively affected its support, which is reflected in its fall.
    • 28,7% of voters chose the PNV because it best represents their ideas and values.
    • 13,3% consider that it is the party most capable of governing in the Basque Country.

EH Bild

  • Challenge to management: EH Bildu has capitalized on criticism of the PNV's management, which has contributed to its growth.
    • 47,6% of voters chose EH Bildu because it best represents their ideas and values.
    • 33,3% consider that it is the party most capable of governing in the Basque Country.

PSE-EE (PSOE)

  • Helpful vote: The PSE-EE has managed to maintain its base thanks to a focus on the useful vote, appealing to those who want to prevent the victory of other parties.
    • 50,6% of voters chose the PSE-EE because it best represents their ideas and values.
    • 21,5% consider that a change was needed and opted for the PSE-EE.

Other parties

  • PP: PP voters valued the party's ability to govern and the need for change.
    • 16,5% chose the PP for representing their ideas.
    • 15,1% voted to prevent another party or coalition from winning.
  • Sumar/Mugimenduak: The party has been chosen mainly for its position on specific issues and for representing the ideas of its voters well.
    • 64,4% chose Sumar/Mugimenduak as it best represented their ideas.
  • VOX: VOX voters focused on issues of nationalism and change.
    • 25,2% chose VOX for its position regarding Basque nationalism.
    • 31,7% voted because a change was needed.

trend analysis

  • Growth of EH Bildu: EH Bildu's ability to challenge the management of the PNV has been key to its growth.
  • Stability of the PSE-EE: The focus on the useful vote has allowed the PSE-EE to remain stable in the electoral panorama.
  • Fall of the PNV: Criticism of his management, especially in areas such as health and housing, has affected his performance.

These results reflect the voting dynamics in Euskadi, with citizens who value both management capacity and the representation of their ideas and values.

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