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Narrow victory of the socialist party in Portugal and decline of Chega's ultras

Mairenis Gomez

June 10, 2024 | 5:30 pm

Socialist victory by the minimum in the European elections

In the recent european elections In Portugal, the Socialist Party (PS) achieved a very narrow victory over the Democratic Alliance (AD). With 98% of the votes counted, the PS, led by Marta Temido, obtained 32,3% of the votes, while AD, led by Luís Montenegro, obtained 31,8%. Both parties will have the same number of MEPs, eight each, in the European Parliament. This election, which had a turnout of less than 50%, reflects a significant change in Portuguese politics.

Political context and consequences for the socialist party

Just three months ago, the PS lost the Government in favor of the conservative coalition due to an alleged corruption case involving former Prime Minister António Costa, a case that was ultimately left without legal consequences. The question in these elections was whether the Portuguese would restore confidence in the PS or maintain AD's leadership. The victory, although minimal, allows the PS to take a breath and evaluate its future political strategy.

Chega's emerging presence and liberal initiative

In the panorama of the 21 MEPs elected in Portugal, the entry of the Chega and Liberal Initiative (IL) parties into the European Parliament stands out. Chega, known for his far-right stance, obtained 9,8% of the vote, securing four seats. This result is considerably lower than the 18% support they received in the March legislative elections, showing a clear decline in his popularity.

Analysis of the decline of Chega and the rise of the liberal initiative

Chega had tripled its results in the last legislative elections, becoming the third political force in the country. However, in these European elections, its performance was more modest than expected. Liberal Initiative, on the other hand, managed to win two seats and a share of 8,6% of the votes. This party, which promotes liberal economic policies, has proven to be an emerging force on the Portuguese political scene.

The blow to the left bloco

The Left Bloc, which previously had four MEPs, has suffered a considerable loss in these elections. They only managed to keep one MEP, which represents a significant blow for this left-wing party.. This reduction reflects a change in the preferences of the Portuguese electorate, which has favored more centrist and liberal options in this electoral cycle.

These electoral results in Portugal show a trend towards balance between the main political forces and the growth of new currents. The narrow victory of the PS and the decline of Chega are indicators of an electorate that seeks stability and rejects extremes. The entry of the Liberal Initiative into the European Parliament reinforces the idea of ​​an electorate open to new ideas and political approaches. Taken together, these changes suggest a dynamic and evolving political future for Portugal.

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