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The demoscopic companies bought by the PP

Laura Rangel Ybarra

July 24, 2023 | 8:00 p.m.

Surveys in the eye of the Hurricane

the recent elections have highlighted once again the differences between the surveys and the final results. While poll companies tried to forecast the political landscape, the numbers differed significantly.

The forecasts of the main pollsters

NCReport, GAD3, Sigma2 and Metroscopia, some of the most renowned pollsters, offered their estimates of seats attributed to the Popular Party (PP). However, the actual results showed a marked discrepancy between forecasts and reality.

It is not the fault of the casserole, but of the cook

The popular saying applies perfectly in this context. Surveys are just tools that try to reflect public opinion at a given time. The responsibility to properly interpret and analyze the data falls on the pollsters and those who make decisions based on their results.

Political fickleness: A constant challenge

The political landscape is dynamic and subject to change and surprises. The fickleness of the electorate is a key factor on discrepancies between surveys and actual results.

A self-critical evaluation

In the face of discrepancies, polling companies must perform a self-critical evaluation to understand the possible causes of errors and improve their methods in future forecasts.

A lesson to learn

These differences between the polls and the actual results should serve as a lesson not to take forecasts for granted and to always maintain a cautious and humble attitude when interpreting the data.

Surveys and public opinion companies play a crucial role in the political landscape, but the final electoral results are the genuine reflection of the will of the people. The discrepancies remind us of the complexity and volatility of politics, and the importance of learning from mistakes in order to improve in the future.

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